Let's assume here that Idol doesn't manipulate the vote. Big assumption. If Idol chooses to make it happen Adam will be branded with thier name for eternity but if its a real vote by real vote than I say Adam won't win.
Adam should win. He's talented, fearless, innovative, polished, riveting. . .he owns that Idol stage.
Now, if you're not a fan at this point you're probably saying no no no but honestly read that list of accolades again. He is talented. There all are of course. He is fearless. The only one that matched that was Allison. He is innovative even if you don't like what he does he certainly brings a new vibe to each song. He is polished. Maybe too much. And love him or hate him he is riveting. The media can't seem to get enough of him and his detractors can't find enough time in the day to bash him.
Adam Lambert is a star. And that's why he won't win Idol.
The American Idol audience tunes in to see the transformation. They want the surprise of Clay Aiken. They want Kelly Clarkson. They want sweet little lost angel, Carrie Underwood. They want to see the underdog make good. The audience wants to see the contestants grow and change and develop and feel a part of it. They want thier love and admiration to reach through the television screen and prop up the innocent raw talent and pump them into a star.
The American Idol audience wants to create the star. Adam is already there. Adam is literally too good to win.
Forcing someone like Adam into a little box each week is a painful process to see. It's exactly why Chris Daughtry didn't go farther. The audience set him free. The difference between Chris and Adam is that Adam is more versatile from his years of theater and can ' play the part ' when its necessary but Chris simply couldn't or wouldn't bend to fit.
So the question only remains at what point will Adam go. I think it might well be tonight and he won't make the final two. Danny and Kris would actually make a real competition at the end because they are so similar in backgrounds and both bring that feel of excitement of the everyday guy out driving a truck plucked out of obscurity and catapulted to fame.
Danny has a strong fan base and that might be a done deal in a Kris/ Danny finish but who knows really, maybe Adam's fans will quickly support his friend and roomate and just maybe. . .
Kris will be the little engine that could.
In the end the only real winners are the producers of American Idol.
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